BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Basketball
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
* under C header = conference game
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
* under I header = game is ignored by modified rankings.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
Game Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Resid values.
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Forest City
Class: 3A Class Rank: 60 Conference: (6-9) Overall: (6-15) Overall Strength = 53.87
N Date Location C Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W- L) Opponent Resid I Predict
1 11/20/2012 Away L 51.12 30 52 3A 34 (13- 9) Algona -3.81 -18.19
2 11/27/2012 Away L 48.05 13 75 5A 1 (22- 4) Mason City -6.88 * -55.12
3 11/30/2012 Away L 57.88 13 58 3A 3 (23- 4) Estherville LC 2.95 * -47.95
4 12/01/2012 Neutral L 31.94 13 47 1A 13 (17- 8) Northwood-Kensett -22.99 -11.01
5 12/04/2012 Away W * 56.97 51 39 1A 69 ( 3-18) Mason City Newman 2.04 9.96
6 12/07/2012 Home L * 60.41 41 45 1A 18 (17- 6) North Iowa 5.48 -9.48
7 12/11/2012 Home L * 54.99 39 43 2A 52 (11-12) Lake Mills 0.05 -4.05
8 12/14/2012 Home L 63.87 34 49 4A 17 (12-11) Charles City 8.94 -23.94
9 12/18/2012 Away W * 49.71 48 37 2A 92 ( 2-21) Belmond-Klemme -5.22 16.22
10 01/04/2013 Away L * 43.37 24 52 3A 37 (15- 7) Osage -11.56 -16.44
11 01/05/2013 Away L 78.04 38 42 4A 16 (17- 5) Clear Lake 23.11 * -27.11
12 01/07/2013 Home W * 69.45 35 33 3A 39 (16- 8) Garner GHV 14.52 -12.52
13 01/11/2013 Away L * 47.65 51 79 2A 27 (19- 4) Britt West Hancock -7.28 -20.72
14 01/15/2013 Home W * 54.17 62 50 1A 69 ( 3-18) Mason City Newman -0.77 12.77
15 01/18/2013 Away L * 55.22 37 49 1A 18 (17- 6) North Iowa 0.28 -12.28
16 01/22/2013 Away W * 64.79 45 42 2A 52 (11-12) Lake Mills 9.86 -6.86
17 01/25/2013 Home W * 64.91 62 33 2A 92 ( 2-21) Belmond-Klemme 9.97 19.03
18 01/29/2013 Home L * 54.57 34 48 3A 37 (15- 7) Osage -0.37 -13.63
19 02/01/2013 Away L * 49.25 40 61 3A 39 (16- 8) Garner GHV -5.68 -15.32
20 02/04/2013 Home L * 56.84 45 61 2A 27 (19- 4) Britt West Hancock 1.91 -17.91
21 02/09/2013 Away L * 40.37 29 60 3A 37 (15- 7) Osage -14.56 -16.44
Averages 54.93 37.3 50.2
Best game: 78.04 = 4 point loss to Clear Lake
Worst game: 31.94 = 34 point loss to Northwood-Kensett
Team stdev: 10.29